According to Cointelegraph, Kalshi and Polymarket currently price a 75% chance of a Democratic sweep in key cryptocurrency-related races during the upcoming U.S. midterm elections. This assessment comes days after these platforms previously misjudged the outcome of Brazil’s runoff election.
The pricing reflects current market probabilities as of the latest available data on the prediction markets. No specific offices, districts, or ballot measures related to cryptocurrency are named in the source material. The reference points only to “key crypto races,” without elaboration on which positions or jurisdictions are included.
The update follows an earlier instance where the same platforms inaccurately predicted the result of Brazil’s runoff election. The current 75% probability figure is presented by the markets themselves and is not attributed to an external analysis or forecast from Cointelegraph or another party.
